About us
Where knowledge
becomes price.
PolyTransact is a prediction market platform that lets anyone trade on the outcomes of real-world events using funds. We believe transparent, crowd-sourced probability is the world's best forecasting tool.
Informed markets
Every trade is a data point. When thousands of people stake money on an outcome, the resulting price is one of the most accurate probability estimates available.
Full transparency
All prices, order history, and settlement decisions are visible to every participant. There are no hidden fees, no dark pools, and no information asymmetry.
Learn by trading
PolyTransact is built to be educational. Experimenting with prediction markets is the fastest way to develop good probabilistic reasoning and calibration skills.
Our story
Prediction markets have existed in various forms for decades — from academic research platforms like the Iowa Electronic Markets to modern real-money exchanges. What has always made them compelling is their ability to aggregate dispersed information into a single, actionable signal: price.
PolyTransact was built to bring this experience to everyone, without the friction or regulatory barriers of real-money trading. Using USD, users can trade on politics, crypto, sports, science, and pop culture events — developing intuition about probability, risk, and market dynamics in a consequence-free environment.
We are a small team of engineers and market enthusiasts who believe the best way to understand the future is to put a price on it. PolyTransact is our contribution to a more epistemically humble, probability-first world.
How markets work
01
Market creation
Any user can submit a market question. Admin-approved questions go live with an initial 50/50 probability. Prices then move based on trader activity.
02
Buying shares
You buy YES shares if you think the event will happen, or NO shares if you think it won't. Shares are priced between 1¢ and 99¢ and reflect current consensus probability.
03
Price discovery
As more users trade, prices move to reflect the crowd's collective belief. A YES price of 72¢ means the market collectively estimates a 72% chance of the event occurring.
04
Settlement
When the event resolves, the admin marks the outcome. Winning shares pay $1.00 each; losing shares pay $0.00. Your profit is the difference between payout and purchase price.
Ready to start predicting?